I’ve been on about 20 flights this year that have been sold out on United, which in the past meant there was a good shot at a bump. I’d say last year I got bumped about 50% of the time when the flight was sold out. This year, on the other hand, I’ve gotten exactly one bump. So my bumps have been cut by 90%. And there’s a reason for this, it’s not just a coincidence. United just isn’t overselling much anymore. They used to oversell a Boeing 757 by about 16-20 people, but nowadays 4-8 is more typical. Of course it’s route/date/time dependent, but they have adjusted their inventory management, which sure isn’t good for people like me. I’ve all but given up on the lucrative VDB.